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NGS Market Predicted to Grow to $3.9 Billion by 2020, Driven by Molecular Diagnostics

By Diagnostics World Staff

July 1, 2015 | In a new market report released this morning, BCC Research predicts the next-generation sequencing (NGS) clinical market could grow at a compound annual growth rate of 31.3% from $997.1m in 2015 to nearly $3.9b by 2020.

Clinical sequencing is poised to enter several key market segments, including the molecular diagnostics industry, and growth is fueled by increased payer acceptance of NGS-based tests, lower test costs, and a growing need for better diagnostics as part of a molecular diagnostics trend.

Two key market segments are reproductive health and cancer. 

The market for reproductive health applications is $572.9 million in 2015 and growing at a CAGR of 24.8% to reach a forecast value of $1.7 billion by 2020. Reproductive health applications include noninvasive prenatal screening (NIPT), newborn screening and preimplantation screening tests. NGS has enjoyed recent success in these markets, particularly NIPT. For NIPT, NGS offers significant clinical benefits, including no risk of miscarriage, high accuracy and reliability, and use early in the pregnancy.

NGS-based diagnostics for cancer also present a major market opportunity. The market for NGS-based cancer applications is $206.3 million in 2015 and growing at a CAGR of 34.7% to reach a forecast value of $915.7 million by 2020.  Among the growth drivers in the cancer market are multi-gene screening panels, liquid biopsy tests for cancer monitoring, targeted cancer panels for diagnosis and therapy guidance, and universal companion diagnostics.

“The launch of next-generation sequencing technologies radically changed the structure of the industry and opened up exciting new market applications. The costs of sequencing have rapidly reduced to the point where it is now feasible for complex NGS tests to be priced in the range of other multiplex genetic tests,” says BCC research analyst John Bergin in a statement announcing the report. “As a result, opportunities emerged in clinical applications that are currently reaching fruition. The NGS clinical market is beginning to establish a foothold in the molecular diagnostic industry and holds great commercial promise.” More than 85 clinical laboratories are now offering NGS-based testing services.